The Covid-19 pandemic has often been referred to as a "black swan" event – unexpected, unpredictable, and highly disruptive. Many scientists, however, had been warning of the probability of a "Disease X" pandemic for years, and some governments had developed contingency plans for pandemics, whether due to their experience with SARS or their concerns over bioterrorism. Covid-19, then, was not so much a "black swan" as it was a "grey rhino" – a known potential problem that could be addressed, but that is often ignored. What are the other "grey rhinos" out there, and how can we prepare for them?
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